TRX Price Prediction: Technical and Fundamental Outlook for Q4 2025

#TRX

• TRX trades below moving average but above key Bollinger Band support at $0.2875
• Record-high active wallets and ecosystem growth provide fundamental strength
• Mixed technical signals require careful monitoring of support and resistance levels

TRX Price Prediction

TRX Technical Analysis

According to BTCC financial analyst James, TRX currently trades at $0.2935, below its 20-day moving average of $0.3099, indicating short-term bearish pressure. The MACD shows a slight negative divergence at -0.000847, suggesting weakening momentum. However, the price remains above the Bollinger Band lower limit of $0.2875, providing potential support. James notes that if TRX holds above this level, it could signal a reversal opportunity.

TRX Market Sentiment Analysis

BTCC financial analyst James highlights mixed but generally positive fundamental developments for TRX. The arrest of a Ponzi scheme mastermind improves regulatory credibility, while record-high active wallets and Tron's potential comeback create bullish sentiment. James emphasizes that the stablecoin boom and BitTorrent's Web3 evolution provide strong ecosystem growth drivers, though investors should monitor these developments alongside technical indicators.

Factors Influencing TRX's Price

Thai Police Arrest Alleged Mastermind Behind $14M Crypto Ponzi Scheme

Thai authorities have apprehended Chinese national Liang Ai-Bing in a luxury Bangkok residence, accusing him of orchestrating a deceptive DeFi platform named FINTOCH. The scheme, operational from December 2022 to May 2023, promised investors unrealistic daily returns of 1% while falsely claiming affiliations with Morgan Stanley.

Blockchain forensic analysis reveals the movement of 31.6 million USDT across Ethereum and Tron networks, suggesting financial impacts far exceeding the initially reported $14 million. The operation employed sophisticated deception tactics, including a fabricated CEO profile using an actor's photograph and premium rented premises to project legitimacy.

Tron Set for a Comeback as Key Factors Align for Potential Growth

TRON (TRX) faced a 10% decline in October, but recent developments suggest a rebound may be imminent. The blockchain platform, founded by Justin Sun in 2017, is seeing renewed interest as transaction volumes rise and its active user base expands.

Tron's efficiency and low-cost operations continue to attract developers and users, bolstered by strategic upgrades and partnerships. These factors, combined with broader industry trends, could drive a resurgence in its market performance.

Tron Active Wallets Hit Record High Amid Stablecoin Boom

The TRON blockchain is experiencing unprecedented growth, driven by surging demand for retail stablecoins like Tether's USDT. Network activity has skyrocketed, with daily active addresses reaching 5.7 million and transactions hitting 12.6 million in a single day—the highest levels since June 2023.

Analysts attribute this 69% weekly surge in active wallets to TRON's positioning as a low-cost, high-speed platform for global payments. 'No headlines. No hype. Just raw throughput,' noted blockchain analytics firm Nansen, highlighting the organic nature of this adoption wave.

The network's momentum stems primarily from retail users leveraging stablecoins for everyday transactions, cementing TRON's role in the digital financial inclusion movement.

BitTorrent's Evolution: From P2P Network to Web3 Pioneer

BitTorrent, a cornerstone of decentralized file sharing, is pivoting toward Web3 integration under TRON's blockchain umbrella. The platform's legacy P2P network, installed on over a billion devices, now seeks to disrupt content distribution through decentralized protocols.

TRON's 2018 acquisition catalyzed BitTorrent's blockchain ambitions. The merger aligns with broader industry shifts—creators bypassing centralized gateways, audiences demanding ownership, and infrastructure migrating to trustless systems. Tokenized incentives could redefine how value circulates in file-sharing ecosystems.

The Best Penny Cryptos of 2025 – Three Altcoins Poised for Q4 Breakout

Shiba Inu (SHIB) and TRON (TRX) emerge as top budget-friendly altcoins with significant upside potential in Q4 2025. Both tokens, already popular among retail investors, are positioned for explosive growth due to their low entry barriers and strong community backing.

Meanwhile, Tap ($TAP), an emerging DeFi-TradFi hybrid, is gaining traction as a dark horse candidate. Priced at $0.0268 during its ongoing presale, the project has already surpassed $1 million in funding. Analysts project a 10% increase to $0.0297 in its next ICO round, with some predicting 25x gains post-listing.

What sets $TAP apart is its innovative approach to cross-border payments, bridging the gap between traditional finance and cryptocurrency. The project's unique value proposition in the payments sector has drawn comparisons to early-stage Ripple (XRP), though with a stronger DeFi integration.

Game Trends Shaping Crypto Casino Growth in 2026

Blockchain adoption, faster transaction networks, and transparent regulations are poised to revolutionize digital entertainment by 2026. Cryptocurrency-based platforms could see annual activity surge to $500 billion, driven by automated settlements, on-chain verification, and secure self-custodied transactions. Singapore remains a leader in this space, offering regulatory guidance while ensuring responsible development.

Networks like TRON have slashed transaction costs and improved throughput, enabling high-volume activity with real-time interactions. Developers now craft seamless, engaging experiences that react instantly to user actions. The ubiquity of smartphones and faster mobile networks ensures players can participate anytime, anywhere.

Interactive skill-based formats, such as fish table gambling, are gaining traction. These games test timing and decision-making abilities, creating persistent engagement that keeps players coming back.

Is TRX a good investment?

Based on current technical and fundamental analysis, TRX presents a cautiously optimistic investment case. The technical setup shows TRX trading near support levels with mixed momentum signals, while fundamental developments suggest growing ecosystem strength.

James suggests that investors consider TRX's strong fundamentals, including record wallet activity and ecosystem development, while being mindful of current technical resistance levels. The convergence of positive news flow and technical support makes TRX worth monitoring for potential entry points.